23 March 2006

Krystal Thomas to Duke

As reported at the Devils' Den and at DBR, Florida junior Krystal Thomas has committed to Duke. She's 6'4, has a 3.9 GPA, and can dunk. She also sounds like a really neat kid with an intense story

Her AAU team is the Orlando Comets and she attends The First Academy in Orlando.

18 March 2006

Individual stats

Here are selected stats for the twelve Wade Award final candidates, prior to any NCAA tournament games:

Name ORtg DRtg %Tm Poss TS% Reb%
Seimone Augustus1377921%.6218%
Jessica Davenport1297219%.65716%
Sophia Young1297722%.58516%
Tasha Humphrey1288620%.60916%
Monique Currie1287816%.58111%
Khara Smith1277418%.61620%
Candice Wiggins1268422%.6178%
Cappie Pondexter1268225%.5887%
Ivory Latta1248019%.6154%
Sherill Baker1208221%.5637%
Sylvia Fowles1196519%.61823%
Candice Dupree1127622%.54514%


And here are the same numbers for the two players that I thought should have made the list, whether or not they're freshmen:

Name ORtg DRtg %Tm Poss TS% Reb%
Candace Parker1287919%.59816%
Courtney Paris1227323%.58827%


Just from a quick eyeball, I can't really see the committee giving the award to anyone but Seimone Augustus, despite my love and respect for Mo Currie. Seimone's offensive production make up for her weaker rebounding numbers and average ranking on defense. (By average, I mean compared to the other twelve candidates, of course.) I do think that the two freshmen should have made the final list, though, at the expense of Sherill Baker and Candice Dupree.

About these numbers:

ORtg, or Offensive Rating, measures the number of points an individual produces over 100 possessions, similar to the Team O-Rating.

DRtg (guess what) stands for Defensive Rating, or the number of points an individual allows over the same 100 possessions. (D-Rating is much harder to quantify, due to the types of statistics kept - not as much info on the defensive end.)

Percent of Team Possession (%TM Poss) refers to how many possessions a player "uses up", through baskets, missed shots, assists, turnovers, etc. Lower numbers indicate a more balanced team, and 20% is about average.

TS% refers to total scoring efficiency, and is more accurate than just field goal percentage, as it includes free throws and is weighted to account for threes.

Reb% is the percentage of available rebounds grabbed by that player.

Updated EM ratings

Here are updated adjusted efficiency numbers, just in time for the tournament:

Team ORtg DRtg EM SOS-EM
Duke113763723.0
UNC108763219.8
LSU106743219.4
Tennessee112852617.1
Ohio St106782916.9
UConn105792615.9
Maryland109842214.6
Georgia111882314.0
Stanford108862112.4
Baylor104832112.4
Utah105832112.1
Rutgers100801911.3
DePaul104851910.9
Oklahoma105901510.2
Texas A&M99811810.0
Bowling Green10181209.8
Purdue9982179.6
Arizona St10085158.8
Vanderbilt10288148.2
Boston College9783148.1
La. Tech9478168.0
BYU9580147.7
Temple9682147.6
New Mexico10087137.6
Xavier10188137.1
Michigan St9988116.6
S. Florida9988116.5
Minnesota1009463.1